Sunday, May 4, 2008

2008 Men's Australian Open Odds

Since I have already gone out on a limb and proclaimed that 2008 will be the first season that World No.1 Roger Federer does not win the three grand slam titles that he has won in each of the past two seasons, the Australian Open, Wimbledon and the U.S. Open, I guess this is the tournament I expect Federer to finally fall in since I genuinely can't see him losing either, Wimbledon or the U.S. Open anytime soon.With that in mind, while it would be foolish to count the indomitable Federer out of a tournament he has won four years running, I sincerely believe that, at least two players have legitimate shots at actually beating Federer, while another one or two lurk on the fringes as dark horses that could luck up into a grand slam title should they get either momentum or a ton of luck on their respective side during the tournament, preferably, both.Here is a look at the Australian Open winners dating back to 2000, followed by my analysis on which player I believe will actually win the 2008 Australian Open.Australian Open Winners2007: Roger Federer2006: Roger Federer2005: Marat Safin2004: Roger Federer 2003: Andre Agassi2002: Thomas Johansson2001: Andre Agassi2000: Andre AgassiOdds to Win the 2008 Australian Open Roger Federer -200 Novak Djokovic +550 Rafael Nadal +650 David Nalbandian +900 Andrew Murray +2000 Andy Roddick +2000 Nikolay Davydenko +4000 Mario Ancic +4000 Richard Gasquet +4000 Marcos Baghdatis +4000 Lleyton Hewitt +4000 Fernando Gonzalez +3500 Tomas Berdych +6500 James Blake +6500 Tommy Haas +8000 Mikhail Youzhny +10000 David Ferrer +2000 Ivo Karlovic +9000 Guillermo Canas +10000 Ivan Ljubicic +10000 Tommy Robredo +12500 Juan Martin Del Potro +12500 Fernando Verdasco +15000 Dmitry Tursunov +15000 Analysis: I'm going to come out and say it right now - I think World No. 3 Novak Djokovic - is going to cost Roger Federer at least one Grand Slam title in 2008.

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